Bracketology 12/31/12

This is The Amateur Bracketologist's latest bracket projections of the 2013 NCAA Men's Division I Basketball Tournament. (December 31, 2012)

EAST REGIONAL

Philadelphia

(1) Duke vs. (16) Southern OR (16) Gardner-Webb

(8) Colorado State vs. (9) Notre Dame

San Jose

(5) Colorado vs. (12) Kansas State

(4) Ohio State vs. (13) North Dakota State

Kansas City

(6) New Mexico vs. (11) Maryland

(3) Minnesota vs. (14) Stony Brook

Philadelphia

(7) Kentucky vs. (10) Oklahoma

(2) Syracuse vs. (15) Harvard

WEST REGIONAL

Kansas City

(1) Kansas vs. (16) Louisiana Tech

(8) San Diego State vs. (9) Middle Tennessee

Auburn Hills

(5) Pittsburgh vs. (12) Wisconsin OR (12) Murray State

(4) Virginia Commonwealth vs. (13) Canisius

Salt Lake City

(6) Wichita State vs. (11) Boise State

(3) Gonzaga vs. (14) George Mason

Salt Lake City

(7) Michigan State vs. (10) Georgetown

(2) Arizona vs. (15) Weber State

MIDWEST REGIONAL

Lexington

(1) Louisville vs. (16) Robert Morris OR (16) North Carolina Central

(8) North Carolina vs. (9) Baylor

San Jose

(5) UNLV vs. (12) Bucknell

(4) Illinois vs. (13) Akron

Austin

(6) Missouri vs. (11) Iowa State

(3) Creighton vs. (14) Davidson

Dayton

(7) Miami (FL) vs. (10) Temple

(2) Indiana vs. (15) Cal State Northridge

SOUTH REGIONAL

Auburn Hills

(1) Michigan vs. (16) Florida Gulf Coast

(8) Wyoming vs. (9) Ole Miss

Austin

(5) Cincinnati vs. (12) Illinois State OR (12) Iowa

(4) Oklahoma State vs. (13) Memphis

Dayton

(6) Butler vs. (11) UCLA

(3) North Carolina State vs. (14) Stephen F. Austin

Lexington

(7) Belmont vs. (10) Oregon

(2) Florida vs. (15) Illinois-Chicago

FINAL FOUR:  East vs. West, Midwest vs. South

First Four:

Tuesday

Robert Morris vs. North Carolina Central (winner plays Louisville in Lexington)

Wisconsin vs. Murray State (winner plays Pittsburgh in Auburn Hills)

Wednesday

Southern vs. Gardner-Webb (winner plays Duke in Philadelphia)

Illinois State vs. Iowa (winner plays Cincinnati in Austin)

First Eight Out (in order): Tennessee, Brigham Young, Marquette, La Salle, Stanford, Saint Louis, California, Indiana State

SUMMARY

1:  Duke, Kansas, Louisville, Michigan

2:  Syracuse, Arizona, Indiana, Florida

3:  Minnesota, Gonzaga, Creighton, North Carolina State

4:  Ohio State, Virginia Commonwealth, Illinois, Oklahoma State

5:  Colorado, Pittsburgh, UNLV, Cincinnati

6:  New Mexico, Wichita State, Missouri, Butler

7:  Kentucky, Michigan State, Miami (FL), Belmont

8:  Colorado State, San Diego State, North Carolina, Wyoming

9:  Notre Dame, Middle Tennessee, Baylor, Ole Miss

10:  Oklahoma, Georgetown, Temple, Oregon

11:  Maryland, Boise State, Iowa State, UCLA

12:  Kansas State, (Wisconsin/Murray State), Bucknell, (Illinois State/Iowa)

13:  North Dakota State, Canisius, Akron, Memphis

14:  Stony Brook, George Mason, Davidson, Stephen F. Austin

15:  Harvard, Weber State, Cal State Northridge, Illinois-Chicago

16:  (Southern/Gardner-Webb), Louisiana Tech, (Robert Morris/North Carolina Central), Florida Gulf Coast

The Bracket Project

Bracketology 12/24/12

This is The Amateur Bracketologist's latest bracket projections of the 2013 NCAA Men's Division I Basketball Tournament. (December 24, 2012)

EAST REGIONAL

Philadelphia

(1) Duke vs. (16) Gardner-Webb OR (16) North Carolina Central

(8) San Diego State vs. (9) Illinois State

Austin

(5) Pittsburgh vs. (12) Iowa State OR (12) Stanford

(4) Illinois vs. (13) Stephen F. Austin

Dayton

(6) Missouri vs. (11) California

(3) Ohio State vs. (14) George Mason

Philadelphia

(7) Butler vs. (10) Murray State

(2) Syracuse vs. (15) Cal State Northridge

WEST REGIONAL

Auburn Hills

(1) Michigan vs. (16) Davidson

(8) Georgetown vs. (9) Baylor

San Jose

(5) Virginia Commonwealth vs. (12) Canisius

(4) UNLV vs. (13) Bucknell

Salt Lake City

(6) Michigan State vs. (11) Kansas State

(3) Gonzaga vs. (14) Stony Brook

Salt Lake City

(7) Kentucky vs. (10) Notre Dame

(2) Arizona vs. (15) Louisiana Tech

SOUTH REGIONAL

Kansas City

(1) Kansas vs. (16) Harvard

(8) Belmont vs. (9) North Carolina

Auburn Hills

(5) Colorado vs. (12) Boise State OR (12) Iowa

(4) Cincinnati vs. (13) Memphis

Austin

(6) Miami (FL) vs. (11) Ole Miss

(3) Creighton vs. (14) Akron

Dayton

(7) Wyoming vs. (10) Middle Tennessee

(2) Indiana vs. (15) Weber State

MIDWEST REGIONAL

Lexington

(1) Louisville vs. (16) Robert Morris OR (16) Southern

(8) Colorado State vs. (9) Oregon

San Jose

(5) Oklahoma State vs. (12) Wisconsin

(4) North Carolina State vs. (13) North Dakota State

Kansas City

(6) Wichita State vs. (11) Temple

(3) Minnesota vs. (14) Illinois-Chicago

Lexington

(7) New Mexico vs. (10) Maryland

(2) Florida vs. (15) Florida Gulf Coast

FINAL FOUR:  East vs. West, South vs. Midwest

First Four:

Tuesday

Robert Morris vs. Southern (winner plays Louisville in Lexington)

Boise State vs. Iowa (winner plays Colorado in Auburn Hills)

Wednesday

Gardner-Webb vs. North Carolina Central (winner plays Duke in Philadelphia)

Iowa State vs. Stanford (winner plays Pittsburgh in Austin)

First Eight Out (in order): UCLA, Oklahoma, La Salle, Saint Louis, Marquette, Alabama, Lehigh, Brigham Young

SUMMARY

1:  Duke, Kansas, Louisville, Michigan

2:  Syracuse, Indiana, Florida, Arizona

3:  Ohio State, Creighton, Minnesota, Gonzaga

4:  Illinois, Cincinnati, North Carolina State, UNLV

5:  Pittsburgh, Colorado, Oklahoma State, Virginia Commonwealth

6:  Missouri, Miami (FL), Wichita State, Michigan State

7:  Butler, Wyoming, New Mexico, Kentucky

8:  San Diego State, Belmont, Colorado State, Georgetown

9:  Illinois State, North Carolina, Oregon, Baylor

10:  Murray State, Middle Tennessee, Maryland, Notre Dame

11:  California, Ole Miss, Temple, Kansas State

12:  (Iowa State/Stanford), (Boise State/Iowa), Wisconsin, Canisius

13:  Stephen F. Austin, Memphis, North Dakota State, Bucknell

14:  George Mason, Akron, Illinois-Chicago, Stony Brook

15:  Cal State Northridge, Weber State, Florida Gulf Coast, Louisiana Tech

16:  (Gardner-Webb/North Carolina Central), Harvard, (Robert Morris/Southern), Davidson

The Bracket Project

Bracketology 12/18/12

This is The Amateur Bracketologist's latest bracket projections of the 2013 NCAA Men's Division I Basketball Tournament. (December 18, 2012)

EAST REGIONAL

Philadelphia

(1) Duke vs. (16) Gardner-Webb OR (16) Savannah State

(8) Belmont vs. (9) Wyoming

San Jose

(5) Butler vs. (12) Iowa

(4) Pittsburgh vs. (13) Stephen F. Austin

Kansas City

(6) Missouri vs. (11) Baylor

(3) Minnesota vs. (14) Canisius

Salt Lake City

(7) Georgetown vs. (10) Bucknell

(2) Arizona vs. (15) Davidson

WEST REGIONAL

Dayton

(1) Indiana vs. (16) Weber State

(8) North Carolina vs. (9) San Diego State

Auburn Hills

(5) Virginia Commonwealth vs. (12) Boise State OR (12) Texas A&M

(4) Creighton vs. (13) Memphis

Austin

(6) North Carolina State vs. (11) Alabama

(3) Illinois vs. (14) Florida Gulf Coast

Lexington

(7) Oregon vs. (10) Illinois-Chicago

(2) Louisville vs. (15) Louisiana Tech

SOUTH REGIONAL

Lexington

(1) Florida vs. (16) Harvard OR (16) Southern

(8) Miami (FL) vs. (9) Wisconsin

San Jose

(5) UNLV vs. (12) Oklahoma

(4) Cincinnati vs. (13) North Dakota State

Dayton

(6) Wichita State vs. (11) Marquette

(3) Ohio State vs. (14) George Mason

Kansas City

(7) Kentucky vs. (10) California

(2) Kansas vs. (15) Stony Brook

MIDWEST REGIONAL

Auburn Hills

(1) Michigan vs. (16) Robert Morris

(8) Ole Miss vs. (9) Notre Dame

Austin

(5) Colorado vs. (12) Middle Tennessee

(4) New Mexico vs. (13) Illinois State OR (13) Temple

Salt Lake City

(6) Oklahoma State vs. (11) Murray State

(3) Gonzaga vs. (14) Ohio

Philadelphia

(7) Michigan State vs. (10) Maryland

(2) Syracuse vs. (15) Pacific

FINAL FOUR:  East vs. West, South vs. Midwest

First Four:

Tuesday

Harvard vs. Southern (winner plays Florida in Lexington)

Boise State vs. Texas A&M (winner plays VCU in Auburn Hills)

Wednesday

Gardner-Webb vs. Savannah State (winner plays Duke in Philadelphia)

Illinois State vs. Temple (winner plays New Mexico in Austin)

First Eight Out (in order): Colorado State, UCLA, Iowa State, Tennessee, Saint Louis, La Salle, Saint Joseph's, Kansas State

SUMMARY

1:  Duke, Florida, Michigan, Indiana

2:  Arizona, Kansas, Syracuse, Louisville

3:  Minnesota, Ohio State, Gonzaga, Illinois

4:  Pittsburgh, Cincinnati, New Mexico, Creighton

5:  Butler, UNLV, Colorado, Virginia Commonwealth

6:  Missouri, Wichita State, Oklahoma State, North Carolina State

7:  Georgetown, Kentucky, Michigan State, Oregon

8:  Belmont, Miami (FL), Ole Miss, North Carolina

9:  Wyoming, Wisconsin, Notre Dame, San Diego State

10:  Bucknell, California, Maryland, Illinois-Chicago

11:  Baylor, Marquette, Murray State, Alabama

12:  Iowa, Oklahoma, Middle Tennessee, (Boise State/Texas A&M)

13:  Stephen F. Austin, North Dakota State, (Illinois State/Temple), Memphis

14:  Canisius, George Mason, Ohio, Florida Gulf Coast

15:  Davidson, Stony Brook, Pacific, Louisiana Tech

16:  (Gardner-Webb/Savannah State), (Harvard/Southern), Robert Morris, Weber State

The Bracket Project

Bracketology 12/14/12

This is The Amateur Bracketologist's latest bracket projections of the 2013 NCAA Men's Division I Basketball Tournament. (December 14, 2012)

EAST REGIONAL

Philadelphia

(1) Duke vs. (16) Gardner-Webb OR (16) Savannah State

(8) Ole Miss vs. (9) Baylor

San Jose

(5) Colorado vs. (12) Bucknell

(4) Pittsburgh vs. (13) Stephen F. Austin

Salt Lake City

(6) Kentucky vs. (11) Kansas State

(3) Gonzaga vs. (14) Pacific

Dayton

(7) Virginia Commonwealth vs. (10) Oregon

(2) Ohio State vs. (15) Florida Gulf Coast

WEST REGIONAL

Auburn Hills

(1) Michigan vs. (16) Harvard

(8) Notre Dame vs. (9) Alabama

San Jose

(5) New Mexico vs. (12) Illinois State

(4) North Carolina State vs. (13) Memphis

Salt Lake City

(6) Oklahoma State vs. (11) Maryland

(3) Arizona vs. (14) Davidson

Lexington

(7) Michigan State vs. (10) Temple

(2) Louisville vs. (15) Canisius

MIDWEST REGIONAL

Dayton

(1) Indiana vs. (16) Louisiana Tech

(8) Missouri vs. (9) San Diego State

Austin

(5) North Carolina vs. (12) Murray State OR (12) Stanford

(4) Cincinnati vs. (13) Ohio

Kansas City

(6) Georgetown vs. (11) Middle Tennessee

(3) Minnesota vs. (14) George Mason

Kansas City

(7) Wichita State vs. (10) Texas A&M

(2) Kansas vs. (15) Weber State

SOUTH REGIONAL

Lexington

(1) Florida vs. (16) Wagner OR (16) Prairie View A&M

(8) California vs. (9) Wisconsin

Auburn Hills

(5) UNLV vs. (12) Marquette OR (12) St. Louis

(4) Creighton vs. (13) Illinois-Chicago

Austin

(6) Butler vs. (11) Wyoming

(3) Illinois vs. (14) North Dakota State

Philadelphia

(7) Belmont vs. (10) Miami (FL)

(2) Syracuse vs. (15) Stony Brook

FINAL FOUR:  East vs. West, Midwest vs. South

First Four:

Tuesday

Wagner vs. Prairie View A&M (winner plays Florida in Lexington)

Marquette vs. St. Louis (winner plays UNLV in Auburn Hills)

Wednesday

Gardner-Webb vs. Savannah State (winner plays Duke in Philadelphia)

Murray State vs. Stanford (winner plays North Carolina in Austin)

First Eight Out (in order): Saint Joseph's, Tennessee, Oklahoma, Charlotte, UCLA, Colorado State, Iowa, Virginia

SUMMARY

1:  Duke, Indiana, Florida, Michigan

2:  Ohio State, Kansas, Syracuse, Louisville

3:  Gonzaga, Minnesota, Illinois, Arizona

4:  Pittsburgh, Cincinnati, Creighton, North Carolina State

5:  Colorado, North Carolina, UNLV, New Mexico

6:  Kentucky, Georgetown, Butler, Oklahoma State

7:  Virginia Commonwealth, Wichita State, Belmont, Michigan State

8:  Ole Miss, Missouri, California, Notre Dame

9:  Baylor, San Diego State, Wisconsin, Alabama

10:  Oregon, Texas A&M, Miami (FL), Temple

11:  Kansas State, Middle Tennessee, Wyoming, Maryland

12:  Bucknell, (Murray State/Stanford), (Marquette/St. Louis), Illinois State

13:  Stephen F. Austin, Ohio, Illinois-Chicago, Memphis

14:  Pacific, George Mason, North Dakota State, Davidson

15:  Florida Gulf Coast, Weber State, Stony Brook, Canisius

16:  (Gardner-Webb/Savannah State), Louisiana Tech, (Wagner/Prairie View A&M), Harvard

Notice that there is more movement in the seedings since the last update than the number of high profile games would suggest; this is due to reconfigurations to make the formulas that I use more accurate rather than reactions to recent games.

The Bracket Project

About This Blog

For the past several seasons I've kept a private projection of the NCAA Men's Division I Basketball Tournament bracket, updated throughout the season.  Now I've decided to share my projections with the world!

Some general principles that I'll be following on the blog:

• Beginning in January, I'll be updating the projections, generally once a week, generally on Mondays.  Updated projections before January will be less frequent; updated projections will be more frequent as Selection Sunday gets closer.
• I go to great lengths to follow NCAA guidelines concerning how closely teams from the same conference are placed to each other in the bracket.  I also check that officially designated host institutions do not play in the same regionals that they host.  I avoid sending participants in the First Four to western sites.  One thing that I generally do not check that closely, however, is whether I've avoided regular season nonconference rematches in the 1st and 2nd round matches, as the NCAA selection committee generally does.
• My decision to publish this is inspired by the excellent Bracket Project Blog, a site with which all devoted bracketologists and college basketball junkies should be familiar.
• I generally won't pay any attention to conference standings (to project automatic bids) until teams are about halfway through conference play.  Once conference championship tournaments are underway, the results of these tournaments will obviously trump regular season standings in determining automatic bids, with the obvious exception of the Ivy League, which does not have a conference championship tournament.
• Teams ineligible for postseason play are excluded from consideration.

Bracketology 12/12/12

This is The Amateur Bracketologist's first bracket projections of the 2013 NCAA Men's Division I Basketball Tournament. (December 12, 2012)

EAST REGIONAL
Philadelphia
(1) Duke vs. (16) Gardner-Webb OR (16) Savannah State
(8) Kansas State vs. (9) Marquette

San Jose
(5) Illinois vs. (12) UCLA
(4) Kentucky vs. (13) Bucknell

Austin
(6) UNLV vs. (11) Oregon
(3) Pittsburgh vs. (14) Illinois-Chicago

Dayton
(7) Wichita State vs. (10) Temple
(2) Ohio State vs. (15) Florida Gulf Coast

WEST REGIONAL
Lexington
(1) Louisville vs. (16) Pacific
(8) New Mexico vs. (9) Alabama

Austin
(5) North Carolina State vs. (12) Colorado OR (12) St. Joseph's
(4) Creighton vs. (13) Davidson

Salt Lake City
(6) Missouri vs. (11) Miami-FL
(3) Arizona vs. (14) George Mason

Auburn Hills
(7) Georgetown vs. (10) Middle Tennessee
(2) Michigan vs. (15) Weber State

MIDWEST REGIONAL
Dayton
(1) Indiana vs. (16) Iona
(8) Mississippi vs. (9) Memphis

Auburn HIlls
(5) VCU vs. (12) Virginia OR (12) Stanford
(4) Cincinnati vs. (13) Ohio

Salt Lake City
(6) Michigan State vs. (11) Maryland
(3) Gonzaga vs. (14) Harvard

Kansas City
(7) Notre Dame vs. (10) Belmont
(2) Kansas vs. (15) Stephen F. Austin

SOUTH REGIONAL
Lexington
(1) Florida vs. (16) Robert Morris OR (16) Texas Southern
(8) Baylor vs. (9) California

San Jose
(5) Wisconsin vs. (12) Wyoming
(4) North Carolina vs. (13) North Dakota State

Kansas City
(6) Oklahoma State vs. (11) Illinois State
(3) Minnesota vs. (14) Louisiana Tech

Philadelphia
(7) San Diego State vs. (10) Butler
(2) Syracuse vs. (15) Stony Brook

FINAL FOUR:  East vs. West, Midwest vs. South

First Four:
Tuesday
Robert Morris vs. Texas Southern (winner plays Florida in Lexington)
Virginia vs. Stanford (winner plays VCU in Auburn Hills)

Wednesday
Gardner-Webb vs. Savannah State (winner plays Duke in Philadelphia)
Colorado vs. Saint Joseph's (winner plays North Carolina State in Austin)

First Eight Out (in order): Iowa State, Virginia Tech, Saint Louis, Saint Mary's, Iowa, Texas, Tennessee, Murray State

SUMMARY
1:  Duke, Indiana, Florida, Louisville
2:  Ohio State, Kansas, Syracuse, Michigan
3:  Pittsburgh, Gonzaga, Minnesota, Arizona
4:  Kentucky, Cincinnati, North Carolina, Creighton
5:  Illinois, VCU, Wisconsin, North Carolina State
6:  UNLV, Michigan State, Oklahoma State, Missouri
7:  Wichita State, Notre Dame, San Diego State, Georgetown
8:  Kansas State, Mississippi, Baylor, New Mexico
9:  Marquette, Memphis, California, Alabama
10:  Temple, Belmont, Butler, Middle Tennessee
11:  Oregon, Maryland, Illinois State, Miami-FL
12:  UCLA, (Virginia/Stanford), Wyoming, (Colorado/St. Joseph's)
13:  Bucknell, Ohio, North Dakota State, Davidson
14:  Illinois-Chicago, Harvard, Louisiana Tech, George Mason
15:  Florida Gulf Coast, Stephen F. Austin, Stony Brook, Weber State
16:  (Gardner-Webb/Savannah State), Iona, (Robert Morris/Texas Southern), Pacific

The Bracket Project